Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000697 0.000792 0.000893 0.001007 0.001133 0.001266 0.001418
2025-09-21 0.000542 0.000672 0.000819 0.000996 0.001203 0.001436 0.001715
2025-09-28 0.000452 0.000595 0.000765 0.000978 0.001236 0.001537 0.001910
2025-10-05 0.000405 0.000561 0.000754 0.001005 0.001318 0.001693 0.002170
2025-10-12 0.000364 0.000529 0.000740 0.001022 0.001384 0.001827 0.002404
2025-10-19 0.000321 0.000488 0.000709 0.001013 0.001414 0.001915 0.002581
2025-10-26 0.000284 0.000452 0.000679 0.001002 0.001438 0.001994 0.002746
2025-11-02 0.000258 0.000429 0.000666 0.001010 0.001485 0.002102 0.002949
2025-11-09 0.000234 0.000404 0.000647 0.001009 0.001518 0.002191 0.003129
2025-11-16 0.000204 0.000368 0.000610 0.000979 0.001508 0.002221 0.003229
2025-11-23 0.000180 0.000338 0.000579 0.000956 0.001506 0.002260 0.003341
2025-11-30 0.000163 0.000319 0.000563 0.000951 0.001530 0.002333 0.003499
2025-12-07 0.000148 0.000301 0.000548 0.000949 0.001557 0.002414 0.003673
2025-12-14 0.000133 0.000282 0.000528 0.000938 0.001571 0.002474 0.003819
2025-12-21 0.000118 0.000261 0.000506 0.000921 0.001573 0.002518 0.003942
2025-12-28 0.000113 0.000258 0.000510 0.000946 0.001641 0.002657 0.004202
2026-01-04 0.000106 0.000251 0.000509 0.000962 0.001694 0.002776 0.004436
2026-01-11 0.000096 0.000237 0.000494 0.000954 0.001709 0.002839 0.004588
2026-01-18 0.000087 0.000223 0.000478 0.000944 0.001719 0.002894 0.004732
2026-01-25 0.000081 0.000215 0.000473 0.000952 0.001759 0.002994 0.004941
2026-02-01 0.000074 0.000205 0.000463 0.000951 0.001784 0.003071 0.005119
2026-02-08 0.000065 0.000188 0.000438 0.000922 0.001761 0.003075 0.005185
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000174 0.000418 0.000900 0.001748 0.003093 0.005273